AMC Entertainment announced on August 4th with a loss of (0.20) EPS in the second quarter of 2022, a surprise “beat” on the streets (0.22) expectation. What followed on the earnings call was arguably more surprising – CEO Adam Aron announced the distribution of a preferred stock dividend, APE, for all AMC stockholders.
What is AMC’s meme stock history?
AMC’s recent history is closely tied to the “meme” stock craze that started with GME in early 2021, along with many other stocks which the market had largely written off like BBBY, BB, FIZZ and others. Retail traders have continued to pile into the “HODL” mentality with day-to-day stock trading volume remaining high – many multiples of pre-2021. Stock price volatility has been digested by the retail following as a short-term hiccup to the long-term fight against the hedge funds. Option volume has followed a similar path, with option volatility expanding on the upside as traders position for the next mother-of-all-short-squeezes.
What is the APE preferred stock?
Preferred stock distributions are essentially stock splits. In this case, AMC will be issuing 1 share of APE preferred equity for every 1 share of AMC. Traditionally, a stock will split shares to add liquidity, reduce volatility, and to reduce the notional value of one share of stock by issuing more shares of stock. A current holder will still hold the same amount of notional value in the stock as they had pre-split, with more shares of the stock at a lower spot price.
How are investors and traders affected?
In this case, the preferred stock shares will trade at 1/20th of the price of the AMC stock at the time of the distribution, with the potential to be converted to AMC shares at a point in the future based on a shareholder vote. This is unique in that most preferred stock don’t have voting rights. With voting rights, holders can choose to vote to convert shares of APE into stock shares (AMC) at a later date.
Who qualifies for AMC’s “APE” special dividend?
All current holders of AMC stock as of the August 19th record date will be automatically distributed this share of APE, with the first trade of AMC and APE on Monday August 22nd. If AMC stock were to close at $20, the net value of the position post distribution would be AMC at $19.00 with 1 share of APE valued at $1.00. Fundamentally, this preferred stock distribution does not add any intrinsic value to AMC.
Post distribution, APE stock will trade independent of AMC shares. This means that traders can buy and sell AMC and APE separately, the shares will not be tied together as a package.
On the option side, current expirations available prior to the distribution will become non standard. After the distribution, new options chains will be available that will trade based on the post distribution price. With the potential price of APE in the single digits, it’s unlikely that options will be issued for the APE shares.
AMC stock outlook
Trading AMC stock is less about fundamentals and more about sentiment. Option pricing is heavily inflated due to huge volume, interest, and speculation, which has driven large day to day price fluctuations in the stock. With an implied volatility north of 100% (according to the tastyworks platform at the time of writing), the option market is implying that the stock could be zero, or double, from its current price over the next year.
Create a tastyworks account or log in (learn more about opening an account at tastyworks)
tastyworks, Inc. and tastytrade, Inc. are separate but affiliated companies.